Marko Germar, Sasha Mallory, Melanie Moore, Tadd Gadduang, SO YOU THINK YOU CAN DANCE

Adam Rose/FOX

Sorry, Tad. The fans may love you, but according to Nigel Lythgoe and Mary Murphy, the chances are slim that you'll win So You Think You Can Dance this season. The final performances air tonight—with guest judges Katie Holmes and Kenny Ortega—and the winner will be announced tomorrow.

So, who are Nigel and Mary predicting to win?

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Resident tamale train conductor Mary Murphy (aka M.M.) is predicting an "M" will take it home. "Marko and Melanie have never fallen down into the bottom," Mary told me at the Fox TCA party. "The rest that are up there have fallen down. So I do think it will be between Melanie and Marko."

Nigel disagrees.

"I believe it will be [one of] the two girls, either Melanie or Sasha," he told our E! News pal Ryan Seacrest this morning. "I think the girls this year have been stronger than the boys. Some years the boys are stronger. Certainly Benji and Travis, for anyone who knows this show, were very strong. This year I think Melanie and Sasha are the right two girls to go into the finale. And I do believe that one of them will win."

So, hmm…If we do the math here (and it takes a seriously complex equation) the only finalist Nigel and Mary would both put their money on is...Melanie.

Do you agree?

Mary also tells me who she's hoping to get on board as judges for next season: "I hope Jesse Tyler Ferguson comes back because I had so much fun with him. I love him to death. And I'm really hoping that Beyoncé, Madonna, Janet Jackson come on. They are all really great dancers. I would love to see any of those three."

Surely they are standing by the phone waiting for the call!

Check back later tonight for our exclusive dish on the big SYTYCD finale—we'll be there for all the excitement, talking with the judges, producers and performers to get the scoop.

Who do you think will win tonight? Hit the comments.

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