Justin Bieber, Florence Welch, Drake

Jason Kempin/Getty Images; Joe Corrigan/Getty Images; Frazer Harrison/Getty Images

Will Bieber fever continue from the VMAs and let the teen star take home another Best New Artist award at the Grammy Awards on Sunday? Or will Drake or British songstress Florence Welch grab the golden gramophone?

Well, if Justin Bieber wins, it would make Grammy history:

A teen pop act has yet to win this category at the Grammys. Hanson, Backstreet Boys and the Jonas Brothers have all been past nominees and failed to win for their screaming tween girl audience. (And we're not counting The Beatles here, who did win in 1965.)

His competitors include rapstar Drake, who had the biggest hip-hop debut of 2010. Then there's Florence + the Machine, who had a blow out performance at the VMAs and wowed critics with their album, Lungs.

And we can't rule out the underdogs—jazz-soul singer and multi-instrumentalist Esperanza Spalding or the English folk-rock band Mumford & Sons.

So who's it going to be? Take your best guess in our new Grammy Prediction Quiz below, find out what kind of musical expert you are, and share with your friends.

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