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American Idol Has Its Work Cut Out for It Tonight

Adam Lambert, Kris Allen, American Idol Frank Micelotta/FOX

The good news for American Idol is that it got a bounce out of last night's Adam Lambert-Kris Allen sing-off. The so-so news is that it was a so-so one.

The sobering news is that it's going to need a hefty one tonight to avoid tomorrow's ready-to-roll "lowest-rated finale ever" headlines. 

Well, at least Glee got happy…

As for last night, Idol's penultimate show of the season averaged an estimated 23.8 million viewers, Fox said, up 5 percent over last Tuesday, tying the show's smallest week-to-finale-week uptick since at least 2005.

Last year, the David Cook-David Archuleta matchup boosted viewership 9 percent from Tuesday to Tuesday. In Idol's glory years of 2006 and 2005, the Taylor Hicks-Katharine McPhee and Carrie Underwood-Bo Bice sing-offs each jacked up Idol by 12 percent over the previous performance episode.

Last night's results matched 2007's in which the Jordin Sparks-Blake Lewis showdown goosed the numbers by 5 percent.

Overall, Lambert vs. Allen was the least-watched sing-off since Idol's prehistoric first season, which doesn't really count since it was so prehistoric. 

In order to avoid recording a new Idol finale low tonight, the show will have to win over 28.9 million—just enough to squeak by 2004's Fantasia-crowning show. (Technically, 2002's Kelly Clarkson-crowning moment in time is Idol's least-watched finale, but again, the first season doesn't really count.)

In order to hit 28.9 million, Idol will have to beef up by more than 5 million viewers from last night and by more than 4 million from last Wednesday.

Good thing Lambert has range.

Elsewhere in last night's ratings:

In the golden post-Idol time slot, Glee's sneak premiere scored 10 million viewers, Fox said, a slight improvement over last week's Fringe finale. Fox seemed most excited about Glee hitting No. 1 last night on Twitter's Trending Topics.  

Dancing With the Stars avoided the "lowest-rated such-and-such" trap by getting approximately the same number of people to tune in Shawn Johnson's win as the show's 2008 spring finale: 20.1 million, per preliminary Nielsen estimates. And, yes, DWTS got a finale bounce—it was up about 43 percent from last week's results show.  

NCIS (16.1 million) and The Mentalist (16.8 million) don't do bounces. They live large like that week in, week out.

90210 probably would've liked a bounce for its finale. But it didn't get one. Overall, it ran even with last week, not to mention its season, averaging 2.1 million.

At 10 p.m., the canceled Without a Trace (11.3 million) closed out its season, and its CBS run, with a beat down of Law & Order: SVU (6.7 million).

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