Except to Affleck.
In his mind, the actor-director told backstage reporters at the SAG Awards, "there was absolutely no way we were going to win this award."
But win the motion-picture cast honor Argo did, beating oddsmaker favorite Lincoln, and for the second straight day, no less.
Asked if he thought Saturday's PGA and Sunday's SAG honors would spell Best Picture at next month's Oscars, Affleck demurred: "I think I'm very lucky to have this job."
Last month, Argo's Best Picture hopes looked dashed when Affleck failed to secure an accompanying Best Director nod, a near-prerequisite for the Academy's top prize.
"I didn't get nominated as a director, and [thought], well, that's that," Affleck said.
But now Affleck is tasked with the toughest awards-season job of all—not thinking too far ahead. So far, he's seems up for the job.
"I don't know what's going to happen," Affleck said. "Maybe nothing will happen."