The Academy Award nominations are set to be announced Tuesday morning, and undaunted by our so-so performance at the Golden Globes (we called eight of the 14 movie winners), we're right back with a new set of stone-cold locks, otherwise known as guesses.
So, the nominees will (probably) be...
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Midnight in Paris
Viola Davis, The Help
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin
Charlize Theron, Young Adult
Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn
Sorry, but thanks for playing: Albert Nobbs' Glenn Close, Dragon Tattoo's Rooney Mara and The Artist's Bérénice Bejo, who, despite her lead-actress nod at the so-called British Oscars, we're going to say doesn't rate—in this category.
FYI: Theron gets the edge over the on-the-bubble competition because Diablo Cody, like Woody Allen, writes nominations as much as she writes characters.
George Clooney, The Descendants
Jean Dujardin, The Artist
Michael Fassbender, Shame
Gary Oldman, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Brad Pitt, Moneyball
Sorry, but thanks for playing: J. Edgar's Leonardo DiCaprio and A Better Life's Demian Bichir.
FYI: It only looks like we cribbed from the BAFTA nominations. Truth is, we're skittish about departing from the SAG script, but especially can't see DiCaprio getting in for a film with zero momentum.
Best Supporting Actress
Bérénice Bejo, The Artist
Jessica Chastain, The Help
Marion Cotillard, Midnight in Paris
Octavia Spencer, The Help
Shailene Woodley, The Descendants
FYI: One, very funny movies (and the very funny people in them) get little Oscar respect. Two, actors in Allen films, comedies though they are, get a lot of respect. Add 'em up, and McCarthy is out, and Cotillard, as her beloved movie's most Academy-friendly option, is in.
P.S.: Streep's shout-out to Wasikowska during The Iron Lady star's Golden Globes speech might have swung some votes the younger actress' way had Oscar voting not closed the Friday before. (And, yes, we know, Streep name-checked Wasikowska's other noteworthy 2011 movie, Jane Eyre, but same difference—the pub came too late, unless, that is, Streep was lobbying for the Aussie behind-the-scenes. And, by the by, if Streep was talking up Wasikowska to her Academy friends, then we take back everything we said about Theron in the Best Actress race, and we hereby give that slot to Wasikowska. How's that for conviction?)
Best Supporting Actor
Kenneth Branagh, My Week With Marilyn
Albert Brooks, Drive
Jonah Hill, Moneyball
Ben Kingsley, Hugo
Christopher Plummer, Beginners
FYI: What we said about DiCaprio? The same goes, unfortuantely, for Hammer.
E! Online will be livestreaming the Oscar nominations Tuesday morning at 5:30 a.m. PT.